The Federal Reserve has just lowered interest rates to 1% causing yet another stir in the minds of people who are thinking about buying or re-financing a home.
"Wow! 1%! What a deal!!!"
Well for *artificial people* maybe but not necessarily for you and me.
The "Federal Reserve Rate" of 1% is what the Federal Reserve, which contrary to popular belief is not an arm of the U.S. Government or the Treasury Department, loans money on a short term basis to banks...one "artificial person" loaning money to another "artificial person".
The second "artificial person" then loans out that money to other "artificial people" or "real people" at a rate higher than they are borrowing it from the Fed (Federal Reserve Board) and the difference between the borrowed rate (1%) and the "lend rate" is how they make their money. This is manifested typically in short term loans, like credit cards.
Consumers, therefore. are often misled, i.e. duped if you're a cynic like I can be at times, by that artificial person "Media". In the past few years the Fed has taken actions that have, however, caused mortgage interest rates to change (or "move" if'n you're so inclined to have that make more sense) in directions that have been something other than expected because the "Media" provided less than substantial reporting on the subject.
The Fed affects short-term interest rate maturities, the Fed Funds rate and the Overnight Lending rate (
Google or
Wikipedia for more info on those terms). These factors have a direct impact on the Prime Rate. If'n you only took this into consideration, one might mistakenly arrive at the conclusion that changes by the Fed would cause a similar movement in mortgage interest rates. howsomever, mortgage interest is dictated by the trading of mortgage-backed securities which trade on a daily basis. Therefore the real dynamic at the heart of interest rate movement is the relationship between stocks and bonds.
Stocks and bonds compete for the same investment dollars on a daily basis. In spite of the advent of printing presses, there really is only soooooooo much money to be invested. When the Fed feels that interest raters need to be decreased in an effort to give the economy a kick in the pants, the reduction in rates can often cause a stock market rally. When the market becomes a bull market (
Wikipedia) the money to invest in stocks comes from the selling off of mortgage-backed securities (
Wikipedia).
Unfortunately, the selling off of mortgage-backed securities to fire up stock market rallies causes interest rates to
go up not down!
Historically, there have been many times when the Federal Reserve has
increased interest rates...then stocks sell off in fear that the increase will adversely affect the profits of the artificial people "Corporation(s)" and the resultant investment capital needs a place other than in a mattress to park itself until the next rally comes along. This is often found in mortgage-backed securities which cause mortgage rates to
drop. Whew.............................................. That all takes some digestion and if'n you'd like some more information I can put you in touch with some folk who can better 'splain.
Pete